Solutions

Illegal Immigration - solved!



Quick Summary





Issue

According to the U.S. Government, there are over 11 million “unauthorized immigrants” living in the United States.

Illegal immigration is encouraged by generous social welfare programs, costing billions of dollers each year.



Why is this Issue a Problem?

The United States is a nation of laws. Illegal immigration is a crime.

Illegal immigration bleeds jobs and money from legal U.S. citizens.

Increased crime and gang activity linked to illegal immigrantion results in loss and trauma, as well as higher cost for criminal justice systems

Unscreened illegal immigrants and migrants are bringing nearly-eradicated diseases into the U.S.



Non-Solutions

  • Legalization
  • Path to Citizenship
  • Immigration Reform
  • Deportation
  • Do nothing




Bob The Engineer's Solution: Project Home Run!





Bob’s solution is to redirect the never-ending and ever-increasing financial cost away from supporting illegal immigrants in the U.S. to a new, temporary program called “Home Run!”

Instead of "paying" immigrants to come to the U.S., Home Run! (a 100% voluntary program) provides financial incentive to illegal immigrants to return to their beloved countries of origin, be reunited with their families, and live a life of luxury.

Home Run! is the only humanitarian solution that solves illegal immigration in a way that satisfies the goals of all parties involved.

Everyone happy, happy, happy!





Details






Issue

In his 2014 presentation, Jeh Johnson (Sec. of Homeland Security), documents over 11 million “unauthorized immigrants” living in the United States. In 2016, President Obama confirmed, “… there are 11 million people living in the shadows.”


11 million illegals
Johnson 2014 data; Obama 2016 extension

Take special note of the long, continual increase in the number of illegal immigrants over the first two decades of the graph. This is a direct result of the "Evil of Incrementalism" in which neither political party chose to address the problem.

The levelling off of illegal immigration shown in Johnson's graph is attributed to poor economic opportunity in the U.S. for the past several years. The curve will continue ramping up once economic growth is restored in the U.S.





Why is this Issue a Problem?

The United States is a nation of laws.

Our form of government provides the means to change laws, but it does not allow the chaotic option to pick and choose which laws individuals, corporations, or government at any level can brushoff.

As a law-abiding society, it not only offends us when people break our laws – immigration or otherwise – and “get away with it,” but it also tears at the very fabric of our civil order. A well-respected former President put it this way:

Let every American … never to violate in the least particular, the laws of the country; and never to tolerate their violation by others.
Abraham Lincoln

Illegal Immigration is not a victimless crime.

  • Job Poaching – Persons who have a job and are in the country illegally have “taken” the opportunity for that job away from legal citizens.
  • Election fraud – With lackadaisical voter ID requirements, illegal immigrants are able to vote and sway the outcomes of close elections.
  • Crime – Violent crime and gang activity have been attributed to many illegal immigrants.
  • Previously, near-eradicated diseases in the U.S., such as Tuberculosis, Scarlet Fever, and Bubonic Plague, are being brought back by illegal immigrants and migrants who are not medically screened.
  • Cost – Illegal immigration costs U.S. taxpaers billions of dollars every year.

Note: The issue is often deliberately obfuscated by politically fabricated "problems." These non-problems are designed to evoke emotional support for implementing non-solutions

  • Our immigration system is broken (No, it's the administration of our immigration system that is broken. It hasn't been enforced for decades.)
  • "Living in the shadows" (Shall we also provide amnesty to bank robbers, rapists and child molesters because they also live in the dreaded shadows?)
  • Broken families (By choice)
  • Do jobs "ordinary Americans" won't do (Who did these jobs before? Given citizenship, formerly illegal immigrants become "ordinary Americans"? Who will do the jobs then?)

    Note: Advocates of amnesty/citizenship apparently take the dark and seemingly un-American attitude that poorly educated, low-skilled illegal immigrants, once made citizens, will be forever trapped in a permanent under-class, where they are stuck in less desirable jobs - with no hope of climbing the great American ladder of success.





Non-Solutions

  • Legalization by Amnesty
  • This is a political solution. Consider: There is no class of criminal behavior that could not be “solved” by making the criminal action legal. Nirvana – 100% crime-free … just make everything legal. No explanation needed as to why this is not a credible solution.

  • Path to Citizenship
  • Also a political solution. Basically Legalization/Amnesty with a spoonful-of-sugar sounding name.

  • Immigration Reform
  • Also a political solution. A coined, obfuscating political phrase which is the same as Legalization/Amnesty/Path to Citizenship

  • Do nothing
  • “Kicking the can down the road” is a predictable political solution. Standard operating procedure. Incumbent politicians often do nothing, or create some fake distraction or delay, to escape dealing with an issue past their next reelection. Problems are not solved and usually worsen while potentially unpopular solutions are passed on to successors.

  • Deportation
  • This is a legitimate solution. In fact, it is the long-standing legal solution. In a real sense, the Issue described above is not the actual problem – the real problem is having disregarded this solution as prescribed by law. However, having kicked the can down the road for decades, this problem has deteriorated to the point that the legal solution of mass deportation no longer meets the Engineering Boundary Conditions of being practical or of satisfying the customer. The customer’s (public's) psyche does not have the appetite for a seemingly “unpleasant” solution.





Bob The Engineer's Solution: Project Home Run!


Bob’s solution is to redirect the never-ending and ever-increasing financial cost away from supporting illegal immigrants in the U.S. to a new, temporary program called “Home Run!”

Home Run! repurposes current and future welfare costs into a generous gift that provides illegal immigrants an opportunity to return to their beloved countries of origin, be reunited with their families, not have to work, and live a life of ease.

Home Run! is the practical, economic, and humanitarian solution that solves illegal immigration in a way that that meets objectives of all parties involved.



Key Features of Home Run!


Doing the Math
6.3 trillion dollars

American citizen's compassion and generosity costs billions of taxpayer dollars at federal, state, and local government levels to support illegal immigrants by paying for:

  • Food Stamps
  • Medicare
  • Medical expenses (hospital and clinic ER/urgent care as free walk-in clinics)
  • Housing allowances
  • Social Security
  • Unemployment insurance and workers’ compensation
  • Cash grants
  • Increased cost of criminal justice (police, courts, corrections)
  • Public education in a plethora of languages
  • Tax credits and "refunds"

Scholarly analysis estimate the net cost of amnesty/citizenship to be in excess of $6 trillion, as shown in the graphic to the right.

Note: This $6 trillion does not include the permanent and ever-increasing cost of many post-citizenship social services and benefits, such as supporting offspring of illegal immigrants.

Data from the U.S. Census informs us there are 3.44 million households, comprised of 3.7 persons per household, living in the U.S. illegally. The average household income as of 2015 was placed at $45,000.

Home Run! generously gifts program participants with $45,000 per year, an amount equaling their average household income in the U.S.(based on average family unit)

Using Pew Research Center analysis, an income of $45,000 for a household of 4 people, places the family at 31.9% of people in the U.S.

That same dollar level of income in a country of origin, Mexico for example, places the same family in the “High Income” group worldwide, and in the upper 1.9% of people in Mexico.


Home Run! payments would be ...

  1. Made in the form of an annuity, with weekly or monthly payments (avoids lottery winner bankruptcy syndrome)
  2. Scaled to the number of persons in each family unit
  3. Scaled based on ages of persons in each family unit
  4. Proportional to length of time persons have lived in the U.S. illegally (can’t jump across the border at the last minute and collect a reward)
  5. Phased in over time with participant queue selected randomly (allows time for employers to replace formerly illegal workers)

Example Solution ...

There are many options for implementing the Home Run! solution. Here are the numbers for one scenario using these parameters:

  • Number of illegal immigrants = 12 million
  • Average household size = 3.77 (per U.S. Census)
  • Annuity = $45,000/yr/family unit
  • Participants receive annuity payments for 20 yrs


Cost of Home Run


Timeline for Example (above graph)

Timeframe

Description

Pre-Day1 Announce and publicize Home Run! Aggressively register participants
Day 1 Home Run! program starts.
Day 1 to Day 2 Phase-in. Participants are phased in over a period of 5 yrs
Day 2 All participants are phased in
Day 2 to Day 3 Period of full participation (15 yrs)
Day 3 Begin phase-out.
Day 3 to Day 4 Phase-out. Participants phased out over 5 yrs (in same order as phased in)
Day 4 All participants phased out. Home Run! terminated
Break even point Cost of Home Run! equals projected cost of Welfare
Post-Break even point From this point on, cost savings of billions of dollars


Participation
  • 100% voluntary
  • 1-time offer with a time limit
  • Participants voluntarily return to their countries of origin
  • Illegal immigrant families receive a payment equivalent to a "High Income" level in their countries of origin
  • Participants are required to pass a short course on financial management (learn how to save/invest/spend responsibly to achieve financial security for themselves and their family)
  • Illegal immigrants who have committed serious crimes are not eligible and will be deported immediately
  • After the Home Run! registration period, persons living in the U.S. illegally, who chose NOT to participate in Home Run!, are subject to immediate deportation

Enforcement
  • Home Run! participants sign a contract (video recorded in the presence of legal representation who fully explains the program to the participants in their native language) agreeing they:
    • Relinquish all past/present/future claims to citizenship or amnesty and any benefit payments
    • Will not return to the U.S. illegally
  • Upon acceptance of Home Run, participant’s full biometrics will be collected, i.e., photo ID, fingerprints, retina scan, DNA, etc.
  • Penalty for violation:
    • First violation – lose half the annuity value
    • Each subsequent violation – loss of half the remaining annuity value

Optional Bonus Feature
high cost of unaccompanied refugee minors

Participants can become the guardian of Unaccompanied Refugee Minors (URM) who have not been adopted into U.S. failies and receive a cash bonus of $50K/child. The refugee child returns with his new family to the guardian’s country of origin. After leaving the U.S., and if desired, the U.S. will assist the guardian in returning their minor refugee to his/her birth family, and discharging their guardianship. (they get to keep the $50K)

The graphic to the right shows an annual expense rate of $1B/yr for "the economic and social well-being" of URMs. For a bonus of $50K/child, the current annual cost will support family unification of 20,000 URMs/yr.

A break-even point is expected within than 5 years.


Prerequisites

Any functional solution to the problem of illegal immigration requires secure borders.

In 1986, President Reagan signed the "Reagan Amnesty" into law, legalizing roughly 3 million people who were in the U.S. illegally. The congressional approach of amnesty now, borders later did not materialize, leaving the door open that created the issue we have today.



Home Run! checks all the boxes ☑

While Home Run! checks all the Boundary Condition boxes for being an Engineering Solution, the requirement of Satisfying the Customer deserves special note. Here's why. Home Run! is a win for all stakeholders:


Illegal immigrants/”Dreamers” win:
  • Return to live in their beloved countries of origin
  • Be reunited with their families
  • Never have to work again, ever
  • Typically “earn” more income than their previous jobs
  • Do not have to learn English
  • Do not pay fines or back taxes

Democrats/liberals win (satisfies publicly stated goals):
  • Unlawful immigrants no longer forced to “live in the shadows”
  • Can enjoy their rich heritage - in their own countries
  • Can contribute fully to their own societies
  • Will have affordable health care (wealthy enough to easily afford insurance premiums)
  • Secures the border (shared goal, as stated by President Obama)

Republicans win:
  • Provides a popular and compassionate solution
  • Preempts executive actions for de facto amnesty
  • Removes politicizing of amnesty/citizenship issue from electioneering
  • Avoids bruising political battles and media demonization
  • Secures the border (also one of Democrat’s goals as stated by President Obama)

Conservatives win:
  • While not a win in the purist sense (inherent injustice of paying people for breaking the law), Home Run! accomplishes conservative’s primary goal of exporting persons who are in the U.S. illegally
  • Long term, saves trillions of dollars in welfare/entitlement expenditures
  • Replaces permanent, growing welfare with short term annuity payouts
  • Restores rule of law
  • Secures our borders

U.S. citizens win:
  • Jobs are restored for legal citizens
  • Restores rule of law
  • Secures our borders
  • Over mid-long term, saves trillions of taxpayer dollars

Countries of origin win:
  • Creates an influx of new taxable income
  • Increases local spending (in lieu of smaller amounts of money sent "back home” from illegal immigrants living the U.S.)

Unaccompanied alien minors win:
  • No longer vulnerable to human trafficking, exploitation or abuse
  • Can be part of loving families who speak their native language and share their culture
  • Have an opportunity to be reunited with their birth families

Lawful immigrants win:
  • Those waiting in line to legally enter the U.S. will not have 11 million people cut in line ahead of them

U.S. Business doesn't win, nor do they lose
Business generally wants amnesty instead of deportation because they want to keep the same cheap labor to which they have been accustomed. However, if the Magic Amnesty Wand is waved, the millions of newly minted citizens will no longer be cheap labor. Here's why:
  1. Business must pay new citizens the always-trending-higher minium wage (currently heading upwards from $15 per hour)
  2. Business must also pay fully loaded payroll taxes and benefits; overtime pay, paid leave, maternity/paternity time off, and absorb costs of health care benefits
  3. New citizens in the labor market are a lucrative target for unions, always demanding - and getting - higher wages and benefits
  4. After a short time, cheap labor will no longer be a cost advantage, and the higher cost of labor will have been passed on to the consumer





References



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